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Rental Supply is Still Stretched
The September property market saw a widening supply and demand gap ensuring a continued rise in pressure on the rental market, especially in locations with more affordable rental properties. There is slower growth in larger cities where affordability limits what tenants can pay, pushing up rents in nearby markets due to individuals looking further afield for more reasonable price options.
A limited supply of rental properties has been an ongoing struggle within the rental market for the last 3 years. The number of homes for rent remains almost a quarter, around 24%, below the pre-pandemic average, limiting choices for potential renters.
The post-pandemic period saw demand for rented homes rising to record high levels, which, together with falling supply, pushed rents higher. Due to the short supply, there are 21 enquiries per rentable home on average. This ensures landlords will receive a high demand for their properties if they are in the right locations, and securing a stable rental income.
Rental Price Growth
The average rent in the UK is currently £1,245, showing that rents have risen 5.4% in the last year. This is the slowest rate in 3 years, however, is good for the market to ensure that prices remain affordable.
The UK’s largest cities have recorded large rises in average rents, seeing a growth of over 10% each year for the last 3 years. This growth is unsustainable and will lead to an affordability stretch in the rental market. The strongest areas for rent are areas just outside of major cities where they have space to significantly grow, whilst remaining affordable.
Property Prices Rise Above Long-Term Average
The average price of property on the market rose by 0.8% in September, equating to a growth of £2,974, taking the total to £370,759. September nearly always sees a rise in prices from August’s seasonal decrease. However, this year, the increase is double the usual long-term average.
Usually, the market gets busier during Autumn, but this year the growth has started earlier. The number of sales agreed is up by 27% compared to this time last year, which is stronger than last year’s rate compared to 2022. This may be due to many movers spotting an opportunity to buy as mortgage rates trend downwards.
The Market Remains Cautious
It is taking an average of 60 days for a seller to find a buyer for their property, this is 3 days longer than in the quieter market that was seen this time last year. Buyers are becoming more conscious and taking their time to find the right home at the right value.
The average 5-year fixed mortgage rate is still quite high at 4.67%. Even though this is lower than the peak of 6.11% in July 2023, it is nearly double the 2.34% that was the rate this time three years ago.
Any further housing announcements will be made in the first Autumn Budget of the Labour government. Any further housing/market updates will be announced in that statement.
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